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Leeds v Norwich will go the distance in 35/1 Bet Builder

Method of victory: Either team on penalties
Under 3.5 goals
Norwich will have three or more shots on target
Junior Firpo to commit 1 or more fouls
Jack Stacey to commit 1 or more fouls

All prices are updated with our stylish widgets, while copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change.

Leeds v Norwich (Agg: 0-0)
Championship play-off semi-final match at Elland Road, Leeds
TV: Sky Sports Main Event, Thursday, 8pm

Method of victory: Either team on penalties

A close and tight tie in Sunday’s first leg produced an overall xG of 0.76 and the neutral will be hoping for more action in Thursday’s opener the second leg. One could argue that it should be even closer here, given the Wembley carrot is so tantalizingly close and one major error could be all takes. It should be more eventful, but it shouldn’t come full time be much to separate them.

Spot shots may be what is needed after 120 fatigues minutes of action. Anyone who watched the first leg wouldn’t surprised to see this happening. Leeds being home will try here but They have lacked a bit of bite in attack recently and may be in trouble again and around the last third. The away team will be quite happy to play more at half time but Leeds are so strong defensively.

Under 3.5 goals

Leeds will be without Patrick Bamford through injury again absence affects the balance of Daniel Farke’s team. OJëPiroe did not the first leg begins, with Farke electing to push Georginio Rutter an attacking role. Although he has experience playing here, he has it Arguably, he excelled more in the 10 position while at Leeds. He took over areas of this nature in the first stage, while Bamford would have more typical space for center forward. This reduces Leeds’ goal threat.

Norwich started the first leg well and probably should have been ahead at break time. However, they retreated into their shell after this and that could tell how they will approach the game at Elland Road. injury concerns over Josh Sargent and Ashley Barnes are particularly worrying and David Wagner will be desperately hoping both are fit.

Norwich will have 3 or more shots on target

Playing for overtime and penalties is always a very risky strategy in tThose kinds of opportunities and Wagner certainly won’t be looking for his team to do this. The second half of the first leg was a bit of a the concern given that they’ve sat back and offered a bit up front, but that it cannot be the way forward.

Gabriel Sara, Borja Sainz, Jon Rowe and Sargent should be in top form when defense quickly turns to attack and can catch Leeds cold. hosts should be quite aggressive in their offensive approach and will get open ways that the Canaries can exploit. Only five times in all competitions from Norwich have not had three or more shots on target in 2024. In addition, if they fall behind, they will have to open up and Leeds would face considerable pressure.

Junior Firpo to commit 1 or more fouls

This part of the season is simply high pressure and, when appropriate, a you learn a lot about the players. In Junior Firpo’s case, his recent foul numbers suggest that they don’t necessarily keep their composure so well when a lot of riding per match. Over Leeds’ previous six games, which were all huge considering they were chasing automatic promotion and then playing a play-off last time, the former Barcelona makes an average of 1.66 fouls per game. In the last three, he has produced two or more.

In the seven games before the recent six-game swing, Firpo did just three fouls, when the pressure was not as high given there are not so few facilities left.

Jack Stacey to commit 1 or more fouls

Like Firpo, Jack Stacey hasn’t fared too well recently with the situation of needing results. In the first leg, he committed two fouls, which he also did on the last day of the league season when they lost in Birmingham. Before that, it would have been back in March when he the last time he received at least two fouls in a match.

Tactically, he will likely have a busy night on Thursday. Leeds are a big threat in wide areas, particularly down the left through Crysencio Summerville and Stacey, who is not afraid to come forward, could be caught outside. This also opens the door for a tactical foul or two. Only in five since early February Stacey hasn’t produced at least one foul in a match.

Method of victory: Either team on penalties
Under 3.5 goals
Norwich will have three or more shots on target
Junior Firpo to commit 1 or more fouls
Jack Stacey to commit 1 or more fouls

All prices are updated with our stylish widgets, while copy odds are accurate at time of publication but subject to change.

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